Prediction of Tomasz Berkieta vs Jelle Sels at Manama 2 Challenger 11-24-25

• Second Serve Performance: Tomasz Berkieta has a slightly better second serve performance, winning 44.60% of points compared to Jelle Sels' 44.08% in the recent six months.
• Return Game: Tomasz Berkieta excels in returning second serves, capturing 45.12% of points compared to Jelle Sels' 43.57%. However, Jelle Sels leads in returning first serves with 25.51% versus Tomasz's 24.46%.
• Breakpoint Clutch: Under pressure, Jelle Sels has saved 56.82% of breakpoints, outperforming Tomasz Berkieta's 54.86% rate.
• Match Win Rates: In the last year, Tomasz Berkieta has a slightly higher match win rate at 57.63% compared to Jelle Sels' 54.43%.
• Preferred Surface: Both players favor clay, winning 52% of their matches on this surface. Jelle Sels struggles on grass with 0% wins, while Tomasz's weaker surface is indoor hard at 38%.
• Competition Level: Tomasz Berkieta mainly competes at Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events with a 62.75% win rate, while Jelle Sels participates in Challengers/ITF > $10K with a 45.65% win rate.
• Direct Encounters: In their previous meeting on clay, Jelle Sels defeated Tomasz Berkieta in straight sets, winning 6-1, 6-0.
• Opponent Quality: Tomasz Berkieta has faced tougher opponents with an average rank of 330.46, whereas Jelle Sels' opponents averaged a rank of 405.65.
• Deciding Set Performance: Jelle Sels holds a strong advantage, winning 68% of deciding sets compared to Tomasz Berkieta's 36% over the past year.
• Breakpoint Conversion: Jelle Sels has a higher rate of converting breakpoints, achieving a 31.28% conversion in contrast to Tomasz Berkieta's 28.68%.

Editorial Prediction (November 22, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents an intriguing clash between Tomasz Berkieta and Jelle Sels, showcasing their performances across various aspects of the game.

Tomasz Berkieta boasts slightly superior stats in second-serve performance and returning second serves, suggesting he can capitalize on opponent weaknesses in these areas. His overall match win rate over the past year is also marginally higher.

However, Jelle Sels exhibits proficiency in crucial moments, saving more breakpoints and excelling in deciding sets, which could prove decisive if the match extends to a third set. Additionally, his higher breakpoint conversion rate might offer a critical edge in tight situations.

Considering these factors, combined with his previous victory over Berkieta, Jelle Sels is the likely favorite to win this upcoming encounter.